Study of Goods Movement through Aravali District Region of Gujarat

There is close relation between economic growth & goods movement, employment & goods movement, consumer & goods movement, resources & goods movement, industries & goods movement. Various Goods movement forecasting models like commodity based, demography based, growth based had been in use to predict the goods flow across the region. Goods prediction & information related to inventory of existing road network are suitable to identify the problems for goods movement through the available road network. Suggestions for network improvement can be made on the basis of observations & predictions. It had also been observed that any single model as suggested above applied at local district level is insufficient to accurately predict the goods movement. Hence a need is felt to integrate all the causes of goods movement with application of model from whole to part, i.e. from regional movements to localized movements to take into consideration effect of Intrastate, Interstate, Intra district, Inter district trips etc., to get sufficient precise information on goods movements through localized area. Also the influence of goods trips on movement of traffic in localized area can be studied with an aim to reduce localized traffic movement problems, which has started occurring in the nearby newly developing towns across which such goods movement are taking place. Current study involves prediction and validation of goods movement across Aravali district based on regions domestic product, Per capita income & consumer surplus/deficit, using gravity model. Study also reveals that localized traffic movements are highly influenced by heavy highway traffic at Dhansura, Bhiloda, & Bayad facing need of Bypass. Also to deal with growing traffic passing through this region, Modal shift of Goods traffic could be thought of by providing cheap mode of rail transport through this region with rail connectivity to be established between Modasa and Shamalaji.